Final Level III Traffic Study
The final Level III traffic and revenue forecast document for the Scudder Falls Bridge Replacement Project was issued on February 7, 2017. This revision of the prior 2014 Level III study was provided to prospective project bond purchasers as part of the official disclosure statement issued on February 14, 2017. The revised Level III traffic and revenue study includes modeling assumptions intended to achieve a 90-percent confidence level in traffic and revenue forecasts. By definition, the work, analyses and forecasts in this document were of investment-grade quality and were a necessary prerequisite for the acquisition of project financing – ultimately $430 million.
Pre-Construction Traffic Study (Executive Summary)
In October 2016, the Commission completed a pre-construction traffic study to meet the terms of an Interagency Agreement the Commission forged with the Pennsylvania Department of Transportation (PennDOT) and New Jersey Department of Transportation (NJDOT) in April 2012. This study assessed the existing conditions of various intersections, roadway segments, interchanges and bridges in the vicinity of the Scudder Falls Bridge. This study will serve as the baseline for purposes of determining traffic diversion impacts from tolling at the Scudder Falls Replacement Bridge. The report includes an Executive Summary and the full study including appendices of the collected data.
Pre-Construction Traffic Study (Report)
- Appendix A – Traffic Counts
- Appendix B – Turning Movement Counts
- Appendix C – Automatic Traffic Recorder Counts
- Appendix D – Automatic Traffic Recorder Count Figures
- Appendix E – Intersection Field View Sheets
- Appendix F – Segment Field View Sheets
- Appendix G – Signal Plans
- Appendix H – Capacity Analysis Worksheets (Intersections)
- Appendix I – Capacity Analysis Worksheets (Freeways)
- Appendix J
- Appendix K – Capacity Analysis Worksheets (Urban Streets)
- Appendix L – Capacity Analysis Worksheets (Two-Lane Roadways)
- Appendix M – Capacity Analysis Worksheets (Multi-Lane Roadways)
The Commission in October 2013 procured a Level 3 – Investment Grade Traffic and Revenue Forecast for its seven existing toll bridges and the envisioned Scudder Falls Replacement Bridge, which will be operated as a tolled crossing using all-electronic tolling technology (no toll booths). Completed in summer 2014, this initial investment-grade study provided updated traffic and revenue projections to help guide Commission financial and project-authorization decisions. It also updated and expanded prior traffic analyses for the Scudder Falls Replacement Bridge. Investment-grade studies are considered a third-level of effort and complexity for determining whether a public transportation entity or specific facility has the requisite traffic revenue potential to attract and secure financing in the nation’s bond markets. The studies ultimately enable bond rating agencies to rank the credit worthiness of a project or government agency. The document explains the project’s transportation objectives and identifies how the project will meet or exceed the eight access requirements identified by PennDOT guidance and consistent with the Federal Highway Administration’s Policy on Interstate access.Level III Traffic Study
Technical Memo No. 28 – Final Point of Access Study
- Appendix A – Figures
- Appendix B – Design Criteria and Plans
- Appendix C – NJ Route 29 Interchange Roundabout Evaluation Study
- Appendix D – Point of Access Signing Plans
- Appendix E – 2004 Crash Report
- Appendix F – DVRPC Traffic Study (2004)
- Appendix G – Estimated Diversion Volumes Graphic and Tablet
- Explanatory June 2013 memo for traffic diversion findings in EA Addendum
- Appendix H – Taylorsville Road Analyses
- Appendix I – I-95 Mainline Analyses
- Appendix J – NJ Route 29 Roundabout Analyses
- Appendix K – Estimated Volume to Capacity Ratios on Area Roadways
The document explains the findings of research conducted in 2010 and 2011 to determine the amount of traffic that will divert to other roadways and bridge crossings once tolls are implemented on the Scudder Falls Replacement Bridge. Among other things, the study indicates that toll-related traffic diversions will result in minimal impacts to other roadways and bridge crossings within the regional transportation network.Scudder Falls Bridge Traffic Diversion Study – Revised Final Report
